August 12, 2005

Political issues

Not too far from now

by David Weman

Kevin Drum writes about our oil peak problem, which isn’t as potentially grave and significant as our greenhouse gas problem, but beats any other contender.
Oil production will almost certainly surpass 84 million barrels per day as new fields come online in the future, but demand is going to increase right along with it. Thus, unless [...]

July 20, 2005

The European Union

Confronting Demographic Change

by Edward Hugh

Confronting Demographic Change is the title of a two day conference currently being organised by Employment, Social Affairs and Equal Opportunities Commissioner Vladimir Spidla. The emphasis of the conference is on gender and family impact issues.
You can find a background briefing paper here.
This is also an interesting presentation.
Here’s a summary of the objectives. It’s very [...]

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Economics and demography

Narodwagen?

by Doug Merrill

BusinessWeek spills a lot of ink on the rise of the car industry in Central and Eastern Europe. The idea that a lot of manufacturing is headed east is nothing new, but to see the numbers and changes laid out so explicitly gives a much clearer idea of the challenges that Western societies are facing.
Volkswagen [...]

Europe and the world

The Low-Fertility Trap

by Edward Hugh

I suppose by-now every right thinking and reasonably well read adult knows what the ‘poverty-trap’ is, even if most of us aren’t too clear about what there is to do about it. Being stuck in one of these traps could be thought to be like being stuck in a (not necessarily very deep) well with [...]

July 19, 2005

Transition and accession

Two on Turkey

by Doug Merrill

With Turkish accession one of the most important issues facing the European Union, people interested in the question could do much worse than read these two recent, and reasonably short, books that focus on the country: Crescent and Star, by Stephen Kinzer, and The Turks Today, by Andrew Mango. Both illustrate and explain contemporary Turkey, [...]

July 11, 2005

Terrorism

More Theories

by Edward Hugh

Very hard to interpret the information we are receiving right now. Much of it may well be aimed at the terrorists themselves so it is also perhaps better not to dig too deeply.
There are, however, a number of rival (but possibly) compatible theories. One of these, and it is the one I am following most [...]

Transition and accession

The Hunt for Mladic and Karadzic

by Scott MacMillan

Today is the 10th anniversary of the Srebrenica massacre. AP quotes the commander of EU peacekeepers in Bosnia saying “the net is closing in” on the two men responsible for the worst massacre in Europe since World War II.
Nice, except that’s followed up by the dumbest quote I’ve seen this morning (it’s early yet): [...]

June 27, 2005

Governments and parties

Promising Elections

by Edward Hugh

The Guardian today has a short profile on Angela Merkel, while the FT looks at some of the proposals which may well form part of the SPD campaign manifesto. Far be it from me to worry about ’sting the rich’ tax proposals, but as far as I can see the main isssue is getting Germany [...]

June 22, 2005

The European Union

Two Views of Europe

by Edward Hugh

Gerhard Schr?der said yesterday that Europe had to choose between two versions of its future: one as a politically united continent able to hold its own in a globalized economy and the other as an enfeebled trading block.
“The core question is: which Europe do we want? Do we want a united Europe capable of [...]

June 18, 2005

The European Union

You’d Better Move On

by Edward Hugh

The papers this morning seem to be all full of ‘gloomy’ articles whose principal theme is that Europe has finally been plunged into a grave crisis by this weeks summit.
“People will tell you next that Europe is not in a crisis,” Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker, who holds the EU presidency, said after [...]

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