July 20, 2005

Economics and demography

Unified Growth Theory

by Edward Hugh

According to Oded Galor it has become evident that in the absence of a unified growth theory that is consistent with the entire process of development, the understanding of the contemporary growth process would be limited and distorted. He quote Copernicus to the effect that:
?It is as though an artist were to gather the hands, [...]

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Economics and demography

Portugals Ailment

by Edward Hugh

And no, it isn’t gout, though plenty of port and fine stilton are to be recommended in any event.
No, the ailment here is an economic one. The EU Commission has just been lenient with Portugal: she has three years, not two, to put the deficit straight.

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Economics and demography

Too Much Money Chasing Too Many Goods?

by Edward Hugh

Business week has just popularised what was previously a minority sport: debating the ‘global savings glut’ issue. Steven Roach has already responded. Really with all this high-powered economics going on, I feel sorry for the ‘layman’, since it must be kind of hard to reach a conclusion about whether or not to buy a house, [...]

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Economics and demography

Narodwagen?

by Doug Merrill

BusinessWeek spills a lot of ink on the rise of the car industry in Central and Eastern Europe. The idea that a lot of manufacturing is headed east is nothing new, but to see the numbers and changes laid out so explicitly gives a much clearer idea of the challenges that Western societies are facing.
Volkswagen [...]

Economics and demography

Spain’s Economic Miracle

by Edward Hugh

It has become conventional to distinguish between two groups of countries within the eurozone. On the one hand there are the older, relatively richer countries, who tend of late to have been suffering from ’sub par’ growth. On the other hand we have the more recent, and relatively poorer, members like Spain and Ireland, where [...]

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Economics and demography

Ageing and Productivity

by Edward Hugh

Start Here

Read more… or Read more right here… »

All of this begs the question: why does the Italian manufacturing sector exhibit such
a high degree of inertia in its product specialisation in the face of such [...]

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Economics and demography

Marketing markets

by Edward Hugh

In a letter to the Financial Times published last week, Michael Woolfolk of the Bank of New York makes a curious contrast:
It may end up that signing on to the euro currency will require the move to a market-based economy. This will certainly not be easy for welfare-based economies, and it may not ultimately be [...]

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July 12, 2005

Economics and demography

Oooops It Isn’t Baaack….

by Edward Hugh

Morgan Stanley team members Steven Jen and Eric Chaney (joined by Takehiro Sato and David Miles) debate today the interesting question of whether the eurozone economies have entered a liquidity trap (LT). Those who have no idea what one of these would look like could do worse than read Paul Krugman’s classic article on the [...]

July 10, 2005

Economics and demography

Economic Implications of 7 July

by Edward Hugh

There is a consensus view emerging that the economic impact of last Thursday’s terrorist attack will be minimal. I beg to disagree: it *may* not be. The reasoning behind this is economic not WoT/political. The apparent stylised fact we are being offered is that “a look at previous terrorist attacks… suggests that any impact [...]

June 29, 2005

Economics and demography

They Huffed, and They Puffed, and They….

by Edward Hugh

China’s campaign to buy up ‘known brands’ continues. This time it is the US centenarian bicycle manufacturer Huffy. This bid has an interesting twist: Huffy is in bankruptcy, apparently for problems with a defined benefit pension scheme. IMHO this could be the tip of a looming iceberg. Best known canditates for forthcoming problems here would [...]

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