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June 23, 2005

Economics and demography

On The Button

by Edward Hugh

The Economists ‘Buttonwood” gets right to the point. Talking of the problems of funding acquired pension liabilities, he notes:
“There are a couple of weird circularities here. Most of the burden of filling these gaps will fall on the companies themselves, which will depress their profits. That, in turn, will depress share prices, which will make [...]

June 19, 2005

Economics and demography

Bonfire Of The Textbooks?

by Edward Hugh

The Greeks had a word for it ‘:aporia‘. That state of ignorance and confusion you are condemned to pass through before you can entertain even the vaguest hope of achieving clarity and real knowledge. Well, taking a long hard look at what we know, what we think we know, and what we know [...]

June 14, 2005

Economics and demography

Micro Effects of Aging

by Doug Merrill

Following up on Edward’s entry, I just want to point out that the Washington Post recently reported on a part of the US whose demographics now approximate the national structure in 2025. The newspaper followed a study by professors at Wake Forest University’s business school (Sherry Jarrell and Gary Shoesmith, though the study doesn’t seem [...]

Economics and demography

No Answers Only Questions

by Edward Hugh

One person who could rightly claim to know more about global ageing and its possible consequences than anyone else in the business is the German Director of the Manheim Research Institute for the Economics of Ageing Axel B?rsch-Supan. If there’s a conference being organised, he seems to be there. Actually his comments at both [...]

June 13, 2005

Economics and demography

Time It Stopped Snowing

by Edward Hugh

John Snow is in Europe, globetrotting on the G8 round. He had some advice for us here in Europe: “I think the important thing is that Europe continue to focus on the things that need to be done to encourage domestic growth”.
I’m glad he raised the point, since otherwise it might have escaped us. These [...]

Economics and demography

China Trade With EU

by Edward Hugh

I’m not very happy with the ‘US Trade Figures‘ post I put up last Friday. I think it’s a glorious mess. The key to the problem is that I tried to deal with two - interrelated but disinct - topics at once: the euro and China trade. So today lets ignore the [...]

June 10, 2005

Economics and demography

US Trade Numbers Are In

by Edward Hugh

So are the China trade surplus ones. Dave at MacroBlog has the details on China. I’m waiting for Brad Setser to post, but he must be either doing his sums, or having a late breakfast :). Before we get some blog analysis (even Brad Delong is quiet today) you can get the basics here. In [...]

June 8, 2005

Economics and demography

When You’re Done You’re Done

by Edward Hugh

You know I’m sure most of you think my constant references to Argentina in the context of Italy’s economic problems is troubling, possibly even irritating. You may well be right. I have to say that I followed Argentina steadily from 1998, waiting to see the inevitable happen. The principal problem was, lets be clear, the [...]

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Economics and demography

Europe’s ‘Tiger’

by Edward Hugh

Last Friday Eurostat released the 2004 data on comparative per capita PPP’s (purchasing power parities) across the EU. Perhaps the most surprising fact which emerges is that Ireland is now in second place (after Luzembourg) with a PPP 40% above the EU average. For a country that not so long ago was considered one of [...]

June 7, 2005

Economics and demography

Italy: Aging But Saving?

by Edward Hugh

This is a very convenient moment to put up this post. Alan Greenspan has just admitted that he’s human like the rest of us, and that he doesn’t have a very good explanation for why long-term interest rates have been falling at a time when he and his Fed colleagues have been busy raising [...]

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