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July 1, 2009

Economics and demography

The Global Manufacturing Contraction Eases Again In June

by Edward Hugh

Global manufacturing took another step towards growth in June - but the process was, as ever, uneven. The JPMorgan Global Manufacturing PMI posted 46.9, its highest reading since last August. The current output component even expanded slightly following a year-long period of contraction. The PMI has now remained below the neutral 50.0 mark for thirteen [...]

June 30, 2009

Economics and demography

AIG: The Fifth Horseman?

by Charles Kenny

The recent global financial crisis has added 100 million more to the ranks of the world’s undernourished, according to the FAO.  Doubtless Paul Ehrlich is saying “I told you so.”  But it may be a little soon to dust off your copy of Malthus.  The trend remains towards the tubby.  There are as many people [...]

Economics and demography

Life is Cheap

by Charles Kenny

The WHO has declared swine flu a pandemic and the US is considering a vaccination program involving 600 million doses. 
So far, the CDC estimates that there have been a million infections and 127 deaths in the US.  That’s a pretty low death rate, of around one per ten thousand.  The US rate for measles [...]

June 29, 2009

Economics and demography

Africa (and Aid): Not Dead Yet

by Charles Kenny

Dambisa Moyo  is one of Time’s 100 most influential people alongside the women of The View and ahead of Vladimir Putin (influential last year.  This year, meh).  She continues to attract attention and stir acrimonious debate.  But one thing her critics and supporters agree about is that Africa is in a mess.   
I’ve just finished [...]

June 28, 2009

Economics and demography

Health Care Reform: A Bull in China’s Apothecary Shop?

by Charles Kenny

As the healthcare debate continues raging in the US, universally covered Europeans look on smugly from the sidelines.  (Well, not all Europeans.    Tim Worstall argues that high US health spending is the successful application of the will of the market.) 
Meanwhile, President Obama has been telling his staff to read Atul Gawande on the weak relationship between spending and the [...]

June 24, 2009

Economics and demography

Japan Consumer Sentiment Rises, Even As Exports Slump - But Where, Oh Where, Is The Recovery?

by Edward Hugh

Japan put in a pretty negative export performance in May. Even shipments to China show little sign of improvement, and the general impression is that hopes for a quick recovery in global demand are looking very premature.

On the other hand a 42 per cent year-on-year fall in imports in May left Japan with a trade [...]

June 23, 2009

A Fistful Of Euros

Europe’s Economies Move Sideways In June

by Edward Hugh

The eurozone economies moved sideways in June, with the flash reading on the composite purchasing managers index (which covers both industry and services) for the 16 nation euro area rising to 44.4, fractionally above the 44 registered in May. So we are just where we were before, contracting more slowly than in Q1, but still [...]

June 16, 2009

Economics and demography

Banking Problems In Europe Send The Whole World Running For Cover

by Edward Hugh

Well that so called investor “risk appetite” took a surprise hit yesterday (and from an unexpected quarter). It wasn’t the worries about US fiscal deficits that caused the panic, but problems in the European banking system. Gwen Robinson reports:
Risk appetite suffered a sharp deterioration on Monday as fresh uncertainty about the global economy prompted investors [...]

June 15, 2009

Economics and demography

Policy Dilemmas For Next Week’s Fed Meeting

by Edward Hugh

Krishna Guha in his assessment in the Financial Times this morning of the key policy issues facing Ben Bernanke and his team at next weeks Federal Reserve meeting had this to say:
“Meanwhile, the Fed is likely to reiterate that it expects to keep rates near zero for an “extended period”, challenging market expectations of early [...]

A Fistful Of Euros

The Clock Is Ticking Away Under Latvia

by Edward Hugh

As the European Commision and the IMF toil tirelessly away, testing out their latest post-Keynesian “social and economic experiment” in Latvia - in an attempt to see whether it is possible to revive an economy which is contracting under the weight of massive debt deflation at an annual rate of 18 percent (Q1 2009) by [...]

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