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February 3, 2010

Economics: Country briefings

Is the capital account a Trojan horse?

by P O Neill

From the European Commission assessment and recommendations for Greece’s stability and growth plan –
Over the last several years, the external accounts of the Greek economy have deteriorated significantly, with the high and persistent external imbalances mirroring to a large extent, the marked deterioration of the country’s fiscal position. The net international position has markedly worsened [...]

February 2, 2010

The European Union

Europe’s friend, George Bush

by P O Neill

To anyone who wasn’t immersed in the finer details of the Treaty of Lisbon, January was a confusing month.  Lisbon was supposed to put an end to that rotating presidency of the European Union by establishing a permanent Council presidency headed by Herman Van Rompuy and a high representative for foreign policy, in which case [...]

January 26, 2010

Economics and demography

Can Japan cut public debt before it gets old?

by P O Neill

Today’s ratings downgrade by S&P for Japanese public debt has brought further attention to Japan’s huge and growing debt burden.  Yet with each round of concern, there’s always a viable response that says “So what, yields are still low.”  And it’s true; if you were looking for sustainability concerns to be expressed in the level [...]

January 24, 2010

Culture

Is the Eurozone an optimal language area?

by P O Neill

Some interesting linguistic thoughts from ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet in an interview with Focus –
FOCUS: Has the fact that you have learnt German helped you?
Trichet: It certainly has. At the ECB, we mostly talk in English. But in the corridors you’re just as likely to hear German, French, Italian or Spanish, and many other languages [...]

January 16, 2010

Europe and the world

Government by Acronym

by P O Neill

Haiti is a country with at least 9 million people and GDP of $7 billion (pre-quake).  Think about that size of that latter number in relation to the usual magnitudes that we discuss on this blog.  But anyway, given its long-standing economic plight, Haiti also has extensive relations with international financial and development organizations and [...]

January 7, 2010

The European Union

The Theory Strikes Back

by P O Neill

In November of last year, an economic research paper appeared on the website of the European Commission’s Economic and Financial Affairs section entitled The euro: It can’t happen, It’s a bad idea, It won’t last. US economists on the EMU, 1989-2002.  It’s by Lars Jonung and Eoin Drea.  There are 2 ways to read it.

[...]

January 5, 2010

Terrorism

When airport security is part of the problem

by P O Neill

A bizarre story from Dublin.  Short version: A Slovak agency was running a covert security check at an airport, which is presumably Bratislava.  The test involves planting explosive materials in the bags of unsuspecting passengers.  8 packages in total.  7 found.  One made it on to a plane to Dublin, and was brought home by [...]

December 29, 2009

Economics and demography

Special relationship, indeed

by P O Neill

For those of you who find the New Year’s celebrations too noisy and might be looking for an alternative use of your time, there’s lots of, er, fun to be had looking through the data in the latest IMF release of the Coordinated Portfolio Investment Survey (CPIS).  This is a survey that the Fund does [...]

December 28, 2009

Culture

The finance minister is unwell

by P O Neill

What is the threshold for reporting on the health status of the Minister of Finance?  Here’s a study in contrasts between Ireland and Japan.

Read more… or Read more right here… »

In Ireland, the Minister, Brian [...]

December 10, 2009

Economics and demography

Revisiting pension wisdom

by P O Neill

As Edward’s post below indicates, the ECB seems to be in a pre-Christmas rush of visibility to set out its opinions on various issues.  Jean-Claude Trichet delivered a speech on the topic of systemic risk at Clare College, Cambridge, today and it’s a nice roundup of the analytical progress so far and remaining challenges in [...]

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