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	<title>Comments on: Rumours</title>
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	<description>European Opinion</description>
	<pubDate>Tue, 02 Dec 2008 16:37:09 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: Jens-Olaf</title>
		<link>http://fistfulofeuros.net/afoe/ukraine/rumours/#comment-6343</link>
		<dc:creator>Jens-Olaf</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Dec 2004 01:23:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://fistfulofeuros.net/wordpress/?p=1033#comment-6343</guid>
		<description>It is time for modern soviet talk: Conspiracy, threat and lamenting, it sounds like this:
from Ocnus.net two weeks ago

Gleb Pavlovsky, a communications adviser contracted by the Kremlin administration to pursue Russia's interest in Ukraine, said: "There is a war of nerves going on at the moment [between Russia and the west]. If the EU does not recognise Yanukovich as a legitimate president, it could lead to a direct confrontation with Russia."

Until recently the Kremlin pursued an ambivalent foreign policy declaring its long-term common interests with Europe while also trying to strengthen its ties with the former Soviet republics. However, the elections in Ukraine clarified Russia's position.

"This is the first time since the end of the Soviet Union that the interest of Russia and the interest of the west clashed so openly. The west is not used to a strong Russian state pursuing its interests. Let it get used to it," said Vyacheslav Nikonov, a political analyst close to the Kremlin. 
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It is time for modern soviet talk: Conspiracy, threat and lamenting, it sounds like this:<br />
from Ocnus.net two weeks ago</p>
<p>Gleb Pavlovsky, a communications adviser contracted by the Kremlin administration to pursue Russia&#8217;s interest in Ukraine, said: &#8220;There is a war of nerves going on at the moment [between Russia and the west]. If the EU does not recognise Yanukovich as a legitimate president, it could lead to a direct confrontation with Russia.&#8221;</p>
<p>Until recently the Kremlin pursued an ambivalent foreign policy declaring its long-term common interests with Europe while also trying to strengthen its ties with the former Soviet republics. However, the elections in Ukraine clarified Russia&#8217;s position.</p>
<p>&#8220;This is the first time since the end of the Soviet Union that the interest of Russia and the interest of the west clashed so openly. The west is not used to a strong Russian state pursuing its interests. Let it get used to it,&#8221; said Vyacheslav Nikonov, a political analyst close to the Kremlin.</p>
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		<title>By: Valerie Mason</title>
		<link>http://fistfulofeuros.net/afoe/ukraine/rumours/#comment-6342</link>
		<dc:creator>Valerie Mason</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Dec 2004 16:19:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://fistfulofeuros.net/wordpress/?p=1033#comment-6342</guid>
		<description>What do you mean?
- banking sector consolidation (above all, ending the 'pocket banks')
- agricultural sector liberalisation (the purchasing etc is all very centrally/monopoly-controlled - there was some liberalisation under Kinakh, but it's been rolled back since under Yanukovych)
- energy - including I think coal still? (oligarchs making money out of subsidised coalmines - and they don't give a toss about the safety conditions, either (viz the big accident in June).
All things that Yanukovych would be unlikely to do. In addition, although there's been lots of investment etc., very little money seems to be finding its way into the budget.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What do you mean?<br />
- banking sector consolidation (above all, ending the &#8216;pocket banks&#8217;)<br />
- agricultural sector liberalisation (the purchasing etc is all very centrally/monopoly-controlled - there was some liberalisation under Kinakh, but it&#8217;s been rolled back since under Yanukovych)<br />
- energy - including I think coal still? (oligarchs making money out of subsidised coalmines - and they don&#8217;t give a toss about the safety conditions, either (viz the big accident in June).<br />
All things that Yanukovych would be unlikely to do. In addition, although there&#8217;s been lots of investment etc., very little money seems to be finding its way into the budget.</p>
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		<title>By: malcolm r</title>
		<link>http://fistfulofeuros.net/afoe/ukraine/rumours/#comment-6341</link>
		<dc:creator>malcolm r</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Dec 2004 03:49:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://fistfulofeuros.net/wordpress/?p=1033#comment-6341</guid>
		<description>To firmly believe that important geopolitical forces are not at work in attempting to overthrow the results of this election constitutes extremely naive thinking.

Ask yourself:  Who is paying for the upkeep of all these highly organized protestors ?  Who paid for all the pre-vote polling data that is supposed to prove the final election false ?  The answer is: a potpourri of non-Ukrainian outsiders who want to get in the ground level when their man is in power.

Finally, for all of those who think its only about US and NGO love of democracy and nothing else, pose the following question:

Would the US and EU openly and straightforwardly commit to refrain from pushing for a Ukraine within NATO - as this would allay greatly the fears of those who note less than benevolent intentions on outside organizations supporting the orange movement. 

The answer is: of course not !</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>To firmly believe that important geopolitical forces are not at work in attempting to overthrow the results of this election constitutes extremely naive thinking.</p>
<p>Ask yourself:  Who is paying for the upkeep of all these highly organized protestors ?  Who paid for all the pre-vote polling data that is supposed to prove the final election false ?  The answer is: a potpourri of non-Ukrainian outsiders who want to get in the ground level when their man is in power.</p>
<p>Finally, for all of those who think its only about US and NGO love of democracy and nothing else, pose the following question:</p>
<p>Would the US and EU openly and straightforwardly commit to refrain from pushing for a Ukraine within NATO - as this would allay greatly the fears of those who note less than benevolent intentions on outside organizations supporting the orange movement. </p>
<p>The answer is: of course not !</p>
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		<title>By: DoDo</title>
		<link>http://fistfulofeuros.net/afoe/ukraine/rumours/#comment-6340</link>
		<dc:creator>DoDo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Dec 2004 03:24:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://fistfulofeuros.net/wordpress/?p=1033#comment-6340</guid>
		<description>BC: "Nobody is suggesting reality is a mirror image."

You present a mirror image, of the pro-Orange side's opinions. You write some hilarious stuff like:

"I have yet to see concrete evidence of Russian interference."

Oh, when you don't floow the events... Let's just look at where the fish stinks from, its head. Head, that is Putin. Putin visited Ukraine a few days before the election and openly campaigned for Yanukovych.

This and other stuff you wrote is too off for you to maintain you just warn this is not a B&#038;W situation.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>BC: &#8220;Nobody is suggesting reality is a mirror image.&#8221;</p>
<p>You present a mirror image, of the pro-Orange side&#8217;s opinions. You write some hilarious stuff like:</p>
<p>&#8220;I have yet to see concrete evidence of Russian interference.&#8221;</p>
<p>Oh, when you don&#8217;t floow the events&#8230; Let&#8217;s just look at where the fish stinks from, its head. Head, that is Putin. Putin visited Ukraine a few days before the election and openly campaigned for Yanukovych.</p>
<p>This and other stuff you wrote is too off for you to maintain you just warn this is not a B&#038;W situation.</p>
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		<title>By: DoDo</title>
		<link>http://fistfulofeuros.net/afoe/ukraine/rumours/#comment-6339</link>
		<dc:creator>DoDo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Dec 2004 03:18:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://fistfulofeuros.net/wordpress/?p=1033#comment-6339</guid>
		<description>"They also need to restructure a lot more if they're going to keep going sustainably."

What do you mean?

I personally have grown very sceptical whenever someone mentions 'need to' with regards to an economic policy. (And I witnessed/witness further plans for restructuring at home.)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;They also need to restructure a lot more if they&#8217;re going to keep going sustainably.&#8221;</p>
<p>What do you mean?</p>
<p>I personally have grown very sceptical whenever someone mentions &#8216;need to&#8217; with regards to an economic policy. (And I witnessed/witness further plans for restructuring at home.)</p>
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		<title>By: bc</title>
		<link>http://fistfulofeuros.net/afoe/ukraine/rumours/#comment-6338</link>
		<dc:creator>bc</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Dec 2004 03:07:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://fistfulofeuros.net/wordpress/?p=1033#comment-6338</guid>
		<description>Nobody is suggesting reality is a mirror image. What is being suggested is that the situation is not as simplistic as everybody is making out - to wit, that neither of them are necessarily nice chaps, neither of them have the undivided support of "the people", and so on.

I know it is the latest "right on" cause for left and right alike to unite on, but it just isn't as simple as everybody here seems to make out. Like it or not, one candidate is not the epitome of evil and the other is not an evil stalinist dictator who is attempting to steal an election and vote-rigging and so forth. 

Sigh.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nobody is suggesting reality is a mirror image. What is being suggested is that the situation is not as simplistic as everybody is making out - to wit, that neither of them are necessarily nice chaps, neither of them have the undivided support of &#8220;the people&#8221;, and so on.</p>
<p>I know it is the latest &#8220;right on&#8221; cause for left and right alike to unite on, but it just isn&#8217;t as simple as everybody here seems to make out. Like it or not, one candidate is not the epitome of evil and the other is not an evil stalinist dictator who is attempting to steal an election and vote-rigging and so forth. </p>
<p>Sigh.</p>
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		<title>By: Valerie Mason</title>
		<link>http://fistfulofeuros.net/afoe/ukraine/rumours/#comment-6337</link>
		<dc:creator>Valerie Mason</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Dec 2004 02:36:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://fistfulofeuros.net/wordpress/?p=1033#comment-6337</guid>
		<description>should add that the main problem at the moment is inflation - it was accelerating before the elections, esp. after they doubled pensions. 

They also need to restructure a lot more if they're going to keep going sustainably. While the Yanukovych government can take credit for recent reforms that have been passed, there are some basic changes that they're unwilling to make. Yushchenko will do it far better (if he's allowed to...)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>should add that the main problem at the moment is inflation - it was accelerating before the elections, esp. after they doubled pensions. </p>
<p>They also need to restructure a lot more if they&#8217;re going to keep going sustainably. While the Yanukovych government can take credit for recent reforms that have been passed, there are some basic changes that they&#8217;re unwilling to make. Yushchenko will do it far better (if he&#8217;s allowed to&#8230;)</p>
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		<title>By: Valerie Mason</title>
		<link>http://fistfulofeuros.net/afoe/ukraine/rumours/#comment-6336</link>
		<dc:creator>Valerie Mason</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Dec 2004 02:25:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://fistfulofeuros.net/wordpress/?p=1033#comment-6336</guid>
		<description>DoDo - yes, definitely there's been a lot of investment. I only meant that high external demand for non-precious metals (and chemicals and machinery) exports were what seems to have been driving the growth. Demand from China and Russia has been particularly strong. Although Ukraine does slightly more trade with the newly-enlarged EU than it does with the CIS.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>DoDo - yes, definitely there&#8217;s been a lot of investment. I only meant that high external demand for non-precious metals (and chemicals and machinery) exports were what seems to have been driving the growth. Demand from China and Russia has been particularly strong. Although Ukraine does slightly more trade with the newly-enlarged EU than it does with the CIS.</p>
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		<title>By: DoDo</title>
		<link>http://fistfulofeuros.net/afoe/ukraine/rumours/#comment-6335</link>
		<dc:creator>DoDo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Dec 2004 01:51:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://fistfulofeuros.net/wordpress/?p=1033#comment-6335</guid>
		<description>"The high levels of GDP growth this year &#038; last are largely due to current high prices for Ukraine's metals exports abroad."

While I don't agree with BC's and malcolm's mirror-image simplicist BS, the above is not true either. Investment in Ukraine has risen sharply, too. As it happens, that investment came mostly from the oligarchs, which blurs our B&#038;W picture a bit. Further blurring comes from the fact that Yushchenko, when he was PM, pushed through a round of privatisation - benefitting the oligarchs.

Yes, I am getting a bit fed up with the "The People = The Oranges!" vs. "They're CIA Fronts!" discussions on the subject.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;The high levels of GDP growth this year &#038; last are largely due to current high prices for Ukraine&#8217;s metals exports abroad.&#8221;</p>
<p>While I don&#8217;t agree with BC&#8217;s and malcolm&#8217;s mirror-image simplicist BS, the above is not true either. Investment in Ukraine has risen sharply, too. As it happens, that investment came mostly from the oligarchs, which blurs our B&#038;W picture a bit. Further blurring comes from the fact that Yushchenko, when he was PM, pushed through a round of privatisation - benefitting the oligarchs.</p>
<p>Yes, I am getting a bit fed up with the &#8220;The People = The Oranges!&#8221; vs. &#8220;They&#8217;re CIA Fronts!&#8221; discussions on the subject.</p>
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		<title>By: bc</title>
		<link>http://fistfulofeuros.net/afoe/ukraine/rumours/#comment-6334</link>
		<dc:creator>bc</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Dec 2004 00:36:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://fistfulofeuros.net/wordpress/?p=1033#comment-6334</guid>
		<description>Truly, folk are going on like the Russians have an interest in the result of the elections somehow invalidates the position and opinions of the Ukranian majority. Well, no - it doesn't, any mroe than the interest of the US or the EU in trying to use the Ukraine as an anti-Russian pawn has any real impact on the credibility of the minority. Really, if anything the minority (wholly funded by the west) is much, much more influenced by events abroad than the majority. I have yet to see concrete evidence of Russian interference. Nobody seems to be funded by the Russians, Yanukovytch is openly and rabidly critical of Russian foreign policy - particularly in Chechnya, and so on. Really, I realsie Yanukovytch is not a saint, but neither is Yushchenko - everybody is happy to brush the huge foreign influence on his party, its fascist affiliations, its hostile anti-semetic policies, and Yushchenko's corruption and vote-rigging under the carpet. To which i say: come off it, and stop trying to push your agenda on us, and just keep your damn nose out of Ukranian affairs, you bloody dupes. Get some nuanced, balanced understanding of foreign affairs and stop thinking of one candidate as a saint and one as the devil.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Truly, folk are going on like the Russians have an interest in the result of the elections somehow invalidates the position and opinions of the Ukranian majority. Well, no - it doesn&#8217;t, any mroe than the interest of the US or the EU in trying to use the Ukraine as an anti-Russian pawn has any real impact on the credibility of the minority. Really, if anything the minority (wholly funded by the west) is much, much more influenced by events abroad than the majority. I have yet to see concrete evidence of Russian interference. Nobody seems to be funded by the Russians, Yanukovytch is openly and rabidly critical of Russian foreign policy - particularly in Chechnya, and so on. Really, I realsie Yanukovytch is not a saint, but neither is Yushchenko - everybody is happy to brush the huge foreign influence on his party, its fascist affiliations, its hostile anti-semetic policies, and Yushchenko&#8217;s corruption and vote-rigging under the carpet. To which i say: come off it, and stop trying to push your agenda on us, and just keep your damn nose out of Ukranian affairs, you bloody dupes. Get some nuanced, balanced understanding of foreign affairs and stop thinking of one candidate as a saint and one as the devil.</p>
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