As I said there, and you mentioned at the end, I’m thinking that the parallels with Georgia are a hopeful sign that this may be resolved peacefully. It’s also interesting to note that the same geopolitical concerns are at play behind the scenes as in Tbilisi (as they were to some extent in Belgrade as well) - a pro-Moscow government challenged from the streets by a pro-Western opposition with the long-term prospects of EU/NATO expansion into the former USSR clashing with the desire of Moscow to reassert its influence over the old Empire.

But one thing that clouds my happiness is that Yushchenko is a nationalist: if he defeats the mafiosi cleptocrats, serious conflict with large minorities (above all, Russian) is guaranteed - and this is would not play out like the shameful but peaceful story of the Baltic states.