Unfortunately, following our recent move to a different hosting provider, some Euros in the Fistful are still experiencing technical difficulties when trying to post. We’re trying to solve the problem as soon as possible.
Meanwhile, other people are experiencing problems as well. The “K-question”, the question who will become the next Chancellor, and presumably the amjor stumbling block on the way to true coalition negotiations between the CDU and the SPD, is still as close to a solution as it was when the polls closed on September 18. Both parties are still hoping the other one will blink first.
While the CDU’s leadership is now trying to bribe the SPD’s top brass into accepting Angela Merkel as chancellor by offering to accept more SPD- than CDU-held ministerial posts in a future cabinet (and thus, bizarrely, liekely strengthens the SPD’s overall position), the SPD is not falling for simple divide et impera games. The two main party wings, the conservative “Seeheimer Kreis” and the left “Parlamentarischw Linke”, have just released a statement demanding not to accept any solution without Schröder as Chancellor. Their position probably includes the “Israeli-solution” of a shared Chancellorship – two years for Schröder, followed by two years for Merkel.
Still, it’s too close to call. Depending on the pressure from within the parties, the decision will now possibly be made next Sunday evening, in another “priavte” conversation between Chancellor Schröder, Ms Merkel, SPD-Chairman Müntefering, and CSU-chairman Stoiber. Should no decision be made then, the next level in this game would probably include (less silent) threats from some within the SPD to form a minority government supported by some votes from the Linspartei.PDS. The CDU/CSU would probably move to make more important concessions to the Greens in order to revive the idea of a “Jamaica”-coalition.
The games people chose to play. Should you want to play this game too, here’s your chance. For those of you, gentle readers, who speak German, there’s the “coalition calculator“, and for everyone (language options), some power-indicators from mybets.com – Who forms the next government?, and more interestingly,
Surprisingly, betting one Euro on Angela Merkel will only get you 1.18 Euros should she be elected. But betting on Gerhard Schröder will yield 8.40 Euros. Do they know something we don’t?