Eli Rabett publishes a translation of Stefan Rahmstorf’s superb German-language discussion of what climate scientists expected from a world with unusually low spring maximum sea-ice cover, what their computer models forecast, and just how closely the forecasts correspond to the weather North-West Europe is putting up with.

That’s what you get if you plug the expected results for surface pressure into a weather forecasting model. Red is unusually hot, blue is unusually cold. And here are the observed temperatures:

Bloody freezing.