Laura Rozen thinks that the broadcast of a graphic video from the massacre at Srebrenica may mark a tipping point in Serbian public opinion and pave the way for the arrest of Ratko Mladic and his extradition to The Hague.
She quotes an international justice listserv:
B92’s Danijel Bukomirovic, speaking in Dutch on NOS Journaal at 20:00 CET, suggested between the lines the Serbian government had had a hand in the surfacing of the ‘executions tape.’ The dire economic needs of the country make EU accession talks the only option for a better future, but oppositon amongst a majority of the poulation against the ICTY’s demands for the extradition of indicted war criminals stands in the way. A mood swing amongst a public in denial of the Srebrenica massacres would pave the way towards the extradition of Ratko Mladic…
This is part of what’s at stake with EU enlargement, and indirectly with the constitutional treaty.
Prospects of EU membership are quite literally transforming societies in Eastern and Central Europe. They are making changes, making sacrifices. In Serbia, they are facing up to war crimes committed in the name of the Serbian people. In large part, it’s all for a chance at the prosperity that is presumed to go with membership. This is a massive exercise of soft power in the Union’s direct neighborhood.
But the Union has tasks and responsibilities, too. They don’t amount to societal transformation, unlike ECE–and now Southeastern Europe. In fact, the vast majority of the Union’s citizens won’t notice them at all.
One of those tasks is to prepare the Union itself for new members. That means institutions that work. For many years now EU (or EC or whatever) leaders have spoken as if the organization was coterminous with Europe. Over the next decade, that will gradually become true. EU members have claimed the mantle, they must be prepared to wear it. And that means keeping the door open for additional enlargements.
The new members in Central and Eastern Europe worked hard to be ready for membership. Southeastern Europe is working hard to be ready for membership. Will Western Europe work even a little bit to meet its responsibilities?