Well people are already busy positioning themselves in the face of what seems like an increasingly possible ‘no’ vote in France on Sunday. Yesterday it was Giscard D’Estaing, today it is the turn of the current EU president Jean-Claude Juncker. His basic point, if French and Dutch voters don’t say ‘yes’ the first time, then don’t give up, try and try and try again.
“The countries which have said No will have to ask themselves the question again. And if we don’t manage to find the right answer, the treaty will not enter into force,” he said in an interview with the Belgian Le Soir newspaper.
Apart from being very elitist, this view is profoundly un-democratic. If the French vote no, then the only coherent way a new referendum can be held is if the Treaty is renegotiated, not just for France but per se.
I don’t know whether this is being pessimistic or not, but I think if the Treaty is voted down on Sunday, we will be years, rather than weeks and months sorting out the mess, and meantime we will have to watch and wait to see what happens with the Euro.