Going Down to the Wire

No smoke signals from Brussels, but that isn’t surprising.

I suppose the various issues could be kicked down the road another six months and still be sorted out in time for the elections to the European Parliament in June 2009. That would leave a smaller window for ratification in the second half of 2008 and the first quarter of 2009. That might actually be marginally better, as it would allow for a closer focus on the unconstitution. On the other hand, if anything goes wrong during that period, the next Parliament gets elected under the old approach, and the EU’s institutional shortcomings become more apparent in practice.

Better to placate Poland with something workable, if illogical, and Britain with something that appears to cover their concerns. And that’s the way I’m still betting.

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About Doug Merrill

Freelance journalist based in Tbilisi, following stints in Atlanta, Budapest, Munich, Warsaw and Washington. Worked for a German think tank, discovered it was incompatible with repaying US student loans. Spent two years in financial markets. Bicycled from Vilnius to Tallinn. Climbed highest mountains in two Alpine countries (the easy ones, though). American center-left, with strong yellow dog tendencies. Arrived in the Caucasus two weeks before its latest war.