Get Local

Overseas Republicans claim that their votes were decisive in putting G.W. Bush into the White House. Diana Kerry, one of Senator Kerry’s sisters, drew a lunchtime crowd of more than 100 in Munich today. Not bad for a surrogate during the middle of a work day six months before the election. It’ll be hard to specify the impact of the estimated 5 million Americans who live overseas. But it’s safe to say the Democrats abroad are taking aim at their Republican counterparts’ boast.

I’m told the outcome of this little contest may have an impact in Europe, and elsewhere.

This entry was posted in A Fistful Of Euros, Not Europe by Doug Merrill. Bookmark the permalink.

About Doug Merrill

Freelance journalist based in Tbilisi, following stints in Atlanta, Budapest, Munich, Warsaw and Washington. Worked for a German think tank, discovered it was incompatible with repaying US student loans. Spent two years in financial markets. Bicycled from Vilnius to Tallinn. Climbed highest mountains in two Alpine countries (the easy ones, though). American center-left, with strong yellow dog tendencies. Arrived in the Caucasus two weeks before its latest war.

2 thoughts on “Get Local

  1. Yeah, I heard something along those lines too.

    Just about the only thing one can say for certain about Americans abroad is that a) there are a lot of them and b) it’s impossible to say how many there really are or how they break up into Democrat and Republican.

    It’s usually been argued that they lean to the right because they’re mostly military or business executives, but this election season I’ve seen a mound of anecdotal evidence suggesting the average American abroad is embarassed as hell by George Bush and wants him out of there at all costs. (Or maybe that’s just me.)

    My predication is that voting patterns of Americans abroad will follow that of Americans at home: The turnout on the right will be moderate to dismal, the turnout on the left massive. I, for one, haven’t bothered to vote since I moved abroad in 1996, but I will for the first time this year — even though my vote won’t make any difference since both states I could vote in (New York and Massachusetts) always go overwhelmingly Democrat anyway.

  2. Yeah, I think the Census is going to try to count us in 2010. That used to be true about military-biz execs, but I think the last decade has changed that significantly. Military and dependants will still be the largest single bloc, but there’s a big segment of people both early- and mid-career who are now working overseas, and not just execs getting posted somewhere. Entrepreneurs, computer nomads, post-docs in the sciences, finance people, and the whole teaching corps and NGO bunches. Plus everything from Mormon missionaries to Krishnas. My guess is that there isn’t a noticeable tilt, that the overseas population maps the stay-at-home crowd. Or that your Open Society people match your missionaries. Anecdotally, Bush is a huge motivator for Dems to come out of the woodwork and vote for someone else.

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