I’ve been editing reports on Central and Eastern Europe for a bank that’s well regarded for its links to the region. (Since the reports aren’t in circulation yet, I won’t name it.) Its authors believe that Bulgaria and Romania will join the EU on schedule in 2007. They think that the delivery of Ante Gotovina to The Hague has helped Croatia’s chances, but they see the schedule nontheless slipping from 2009 to 2010, at the earliest.

In the summer of 2004, I laid down my bets here. I had all three joining in time to vote in the European Parliament elections in 2009. I think I’ll stick with that estimate.

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About Doug Merrill

Freelance journalist based in Tbilisi, following stints in Atlanta, Budapest, Munich, Warsaw and Washington. Worked for a German think tank, discovered it was incompatible with repaying US student loans. Spent two years in financial markets. Bicycled from Vilnius to Tallinn. Climbed highest mountains in two Alpine countries (the easy ones, though). American center-left, with strong yellow dog tendencies. Arrived in the Caucasus two weeks before its latest war.