“A few days before 25 European Presidents and Prime Ministers met in Brussels to try to ratify a constitution, former French President Val?ry Giscard d’Estaing had dire words of warning. Failure to approve the 265-page text, of which he had been the principal author, would be a disaster for the cause of a united Europe: ‘We would see the gradual falling apart of the European Union.'”
But there’s something to it as well:
“The collapse of the convention was in fact bracketed by two other major political events — events that show how much Europe stands to lose if it cannot strengthen its position in the geopolitical arena. Both events involve what the French call ‘the hyperpower,’ the U.S. Both deliver the same message: that the world isn’t waiting for Europe to buff up its internal political agenda. Giscard may be proved right after all.”
And some interesting notions:
“A Beijing-Washington axis, ‘if it can hold, will be the most hopeful chance for state peace this century,’ says Julian Lindley-French, a strategic affairs specialist at the Geneva Center for Security Policy. ‘And Europeans? They make noises about their new role in the world, but basically it’s clear they want to stay on their eternal merry-go-round.'”
I don’t accept the whole argument, but it’s worth thinking about why the argument doesn’t hold water.