Comments on: Is Germany Dependent on Exports to Grow? http://fistfulofeuros.net/afoe/is-germany-dependent-on-exports-to-grow/ European Opinion Mon, 13 Feb 2012 07:39:06 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Matthew Yglesias » How Should EU Trade Balances Be Measured? http://fistfulofeuros.net/afoe/is-germany-dependent-on-exports-to-grow/comment-page-1/#comment-27222 Matthew Yglesias » How Should EU Trade Balances Be Measured? Tue, 06 Oct 2009 15:28:58 +0000 http://fistfulofeuros.net/?p=6337#comment-27222 [...] “no,” with one popular cashing out of that answer being the one Claus Vistesen lays out in great detail here, namely that Germany’s demographic structure makes export-dependency [...] [...] “no,” with one popular cashing out of that answer being the one Claus Vistesen lays out in great detail here, namely that Germany’s demographic structure makes export-dependency [...]

]]> By: Alex http://fistfulofeuros.net/afoe/is-germany-dependent-on-exports-to-grow/comment-page-1/#comment-27191 Alex Fri, 02 Oct 2009 10:52:18 +0000 http://fistfulofeuros.net/?p=6337#comment-27191 It's interesting, however, that there is a historical pattern of perceiving exporting as a preferred strategy in Germany that goes back to the rapid industrialisation phase in the 1890s. The "Exportventile" was traditionally seen as a hedge against internal uncertainty; being an economy with a heavy specialisation in capital goods, it's not hard to see a lot of path dependence there. It’s interesting, however, that there is a historical pattern of perceiving exporting as a preferred strategy in Germany that goes back to the rapid industrialisation phase in the 1890s. The “Exportventile” was traditionally seen as a hedge against internal uncertainty; being an economy with a heavy specialisation in capital goods, it’s not hard to see a lot of path dependence there.

]]> By: Baltic mist http://fistfulofeuros.net/afoe/is-germany-dependent-on-exports-to-grow/comment-page-1/#comment-27176 Baltic mist Thu, 01 Oct 2009 17:45:53 +0000 http://fistfulofeuros.net/?p=6337#comment-27176 What does life cycle theory imply for the Baltic countries? These are uniquely interesting cases: rapidly aging (Estonia's median age is already 38 for instance), poor and with weak export industries. If growth depends on exports but exports can only grow slowly, does this imply a cycle of economic decline from which it is impossible to break out (barring mass immigration - politically unacceptable - to bring down the median age)? What does life cycle theory imply for the Baltic countries?

These are uniquely interesting cases: rapidly aging (Estonia’s median age is already 38 for instance), poor and with weak export industries.

If growth depends on exports but exports can only grow slowly, does this imply a cycle of economic decline from which it is impossible to break out (barring mass immigration – politically unacceptable – to bring down the median age)?

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