An Interesting Result

The consumer confidence index calculated by the the Nuremburg based GfK market research group fell this month to 3.5 from a revised 4.3 in May. This suggests that while Germans may vote in large numbers for a change of government, they are extremely guarded about the possibility that this will produce any notable turn-round in the economic situation, at least in the short term. (Also see this from the FT).

Despite the announcement that the election will be held in the autumn this year, there are no signs yet of the consumer climate trend reversing,” the Nuremburg-based GfK research group said. “Germans are still uncertain about future financial pressures or relief and do not feel confident about making plans for their future.

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About Edward Hugh

Edward 'the bonobo is a Catalan economist of British extraction. After being born, brought-up and educated in the United Kingdom, Edward subsequently settled in Barcelona where he has now lived for over 15 years. As a consequence Edward considers himself to be "Catalan by adoption". He has also to some extent been "adopted by Catalonia", since throughout the current economic crisis he has been a constant voice on TV, radio and in the press arguing in favor of the need for some kind of internal devaluation if Spain wants to stay inside the Euro. By inclination he is a macro economist, but his obsession with trying to understand the economic impact of demographic changes has often taken him far from home, off and away from the more tranquil and placid pastures of the dismal science, into the bracken and thicket of demography, anthropology, biology, sociology and systems theory. All of which has lead him to ask himself whether Thomas Wolfe was not in fact right when he asserted that the fact of the matter is "you can never go home again".