4200

Thirteen years, and now 4200 posts.

Judging from the level of activity, Brexit broke the blog. Now with the election of Trump, we’ll get to see a lot of other stuff broken. When I first started writing here, I was still doing a fair amount of public speaking in cooperation with the US consulate in Munich. I often fielded questions about a multipolar world, and they often implied that such a world would be better than the unipolar moment following the end of the Cold War. We’re about to find out about that now, too, because the incoming administration is going to take the US out of a lot of global debates. The new political leadership may also render the government lame by personal corruption, chaos in the top echelons, deliberately gumming up the works, or some new way to fuck things up that I wasn’t previously aware of. (Needless to say, I won’t be doing any public speaking in cooperation with the embassy in Berlin for the next four years.)

Next year promises to be interesting. The Putin government is already working out ways to meddle in the German and French elections. I think Trump’s election put paid the idea that a president Le Pen is impossible; let’s hope that France nevertheless finds a way to avoid such an outcome. From current polling, it looks like the AfD will get into the German parliament. That means six parties in the Bundestag, assuming the FDP manages to come back from their drubbing last time around. Building a coalition will be difficult, and the larger the AfD delegation, the more difficult it will be. The SPD may finally have to work with the heirs of the Communists who so effectively persecuted their forbears in East Germany.

Thirteen years. 4200 entries. Onward.